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Model of medium-term economic cycle and its preliminary verification using the index of leading indicators and some other indicators


Petukhov V.A.
(about the author)

Petukhov Valeriy Aleksandrovich – (The Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation)

Published in:
Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship
– Volume 18, Number 13 (July 2017)



Keywords: growth rate of real GDP before the onset of the crisis, index of leading indicators, law of diminishing returns, Malthus-West-Ricardo theory


Citation:
Petukhov V.A. (2017). Model of medium-term economic cycle and its preliminary verification using the index of leading indicators and some other indicators. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship, 18(13), 2021-2034. doi: 10.18334/rp.18.13.38070


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Abstract:

The article shows the main structure of the author’s model of medium-term economic cycle. The author provides the evidence that this model corresponds on the whole to modern empirical indicators: to various components of the index of leading indicators and to growth rates of real GDP. This article will be useful experts in modern economic cycles and in history of economic thought.







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