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Seasonal data adjustment


Olga Morgunova, Anton Skrobotov, Marina Turuntseva
(about the authors)

Morgunova Olga Vyacheslavovna – Researcher (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation, Moscow)

Skrobotov Anton Andreevich – Researcher (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation, Moscow)

Turuntseva Marina Yurevna – Head of the laboratory (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation, Moscow)

Published in:
Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship
– Volume 17, Number 1 (January, 2016)



Keywords: dynamic properties of time series, problem of "wagging tail", seasonal smoothing


Citation:
Olga Morgunova, Anton Skrobotov, Marina Turuntseva (2016). Seasonal data adjustment. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship, 17(1), 115-124. doi: 10.18334/rp.17.1.2202


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Abstract:

The article deals with the main problems arising from the use of seasonal data adjustment procedures, such as: the problem of "wagging tail" and changes of dynamic properties of time series and its impact on the test procedures.








References:
Bessonov, V.A., Petronevich, A.V. (2013). Sezonnaya korrektirovka kak istochnik lozhnyh signalov. Ekonomicheskiy zhurnal Vysshey shkoly ekonomiki, 17(4), 586-616.
Del Barrio Castro, T., Osborn, D.R. (2004). The consequences of seasonal adjustment for periodic autoregressive processes. The Econometrics Journal, 7(2), 307-321. doi: 10.1111/j.1368-423X.2004.00132.x
Bell, W.R. (2012). Unit Root Properties of Seasonal Adjustment and Related Filters. Journal of Official Statistics, 28(3), 441-461.
Ghysels, E., Perron, P. (1996). The effect of linear filters on dynamic time series with structural change. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 69-97. doi: 10.1016/0304-4076(94)01684-4
Sims, C.A. (1974). Output and Labor Input in Manufacturing. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 3, 695-736.
Wallis, K.F. (1974). Seasonal Adjustment and Relations between Variables. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 69(345), 18-31. doi: 10.1080/01621459.1974.10480123

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