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Prognostication of regional strategic macro indices in the innovative economy


Elena Ptitsyna, Andrey Mudrak, Vladimir Sinov
(about the authors)

Ptitsyna Elena Vyacheslavovna – Postgraduate, Chair of Logics and Quality Management, Saint-Petersburg State University of Service and Economics, Senior Lecturer, Chair of Economics and Corporate Management, Saint-Petersburg State University of Service and Economics, Novgorod Branch

Mudrak Andrey Alekseevich – Director, PKA “MAGURA” LTD, applicant, Faculty of Finance, Chair of Commerce, Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod

Sinov Vladimir Vasilyevich – Cand. of Econ. Sci., Professor, Saint Petersburg State University of Economics and Finance “New Literacy” of XXI century

Published in:
Creative Economy
– № 6 / June, 2011



Keywords: innovative development, linearpiece regression, prognostication, time series


Citation:
Elena Ptitsyna, Andrey Mudrak, Vladimir Sinov (2011). Prognostication of regional strategic macro indices in the innovative economy. Creative Economy, 5(6), 9-14. — url: http://bgscience.ru/com/lib/629


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Abstract:

The process of prognostication is the basis for management decision making at the regional level. This process marks perspectives, bases factors and reasons of social and economical development. The author considers regional macro indices prognostication method on the basis of linear-piece regression. The paper presents long-term prognosis of regional produce in Novgorod region based on possible development scenario.








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