bgscience@idbg.ru
+7 495 648 62 41 Russia, 127015, Moscow, Novodmitrovskaya st. 5A (b. 7)
Menu
  • BIBLIO-GLOBUS
    • About
  • Journals
    • Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship
    • Creative Economy
    • Scholarly Communication Review
    • Russian Journal of Retail Management
    • Leadership and Management
    • Public-Private Partnership
    • Global Markets and Financial Engineering
    • Russian Journal of Housing Research
    • Food Policy and Security
    • Russian Journal of Labor Economics
    • Russian Journal of Innovation Economics
    • Journal of Economics, Entrepreneurship and Law
    • Russian Journal of Humanistic Psychology
  • BIBLIO-GLOBUS fiction

Switch to Russian:to Russian

Quality Assessment Tools of Factors Forecast of Company Economic Activity


Marina Turuntseva
(about the author)

Turuntseva Marina Yuryevna – Senior Research Associate, Institute of Economy Policy named after E.T. Gaidar, Deputy of Short-term Forecasting Laboratory Chief

Published in:
Journal of International Economic Affairs
– № 2 (2), December 2011



Keywords: economic activity, economic activity factors, evaluation of forecast quality, forecasting


Citation:
Marina Turuntseva (). Quality Assessment Tools of Factors Forecast of Company Economic Activity. Journal of International Economic Affairs, 1(2), 17-21. — url: http://bgscience.ru/com/lib/5947


Share:

Abstract:

Article considers factors forecast quality analysis methods of economic activity. Simplified statistics which allow to compare several forecasts of specific factor are considered. Test set which allow to understand the difference statistic importance of these forecasts is considered.








References:
1. Diebold F.X. (2007), Elements of Forecasting. 4th ed. Thomson South-Western, 2007.
2. Diebold F.X., Mariano R.S. Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. – 1995. ‒ № 13 (3). ‒ P. 253-263.
3. Granger, C.W.J., Newbold P. Forecasting Economic Time Series, Orlando, Florida: Academic Press, 1977.
4. Meese, R.A., Rogoff K. Was it Real? The Exchange Rate – Interest Differential Relation Over the Modern Floating–Rate Period, Journal of Finance. – 1988. ‒ 43. ‒ P. 933-948.
5. Morgan, W.A. (1939–1940), A test for the Significance of the Difference Between the two variances in a Sample From Normal Bivariate Population, Biometrika, 31. ‒ P. 13-19.
6. Wilcoxon, F. Individual Comparisons by Ranking Methods, Biometrics Bulletin. – 1945. ‒ № 1 (6). ‒ P. 80–83.
7. Turuntseva M., Yudin A., Drobyshevskiy S., Kadochnikov P., Trunin P., Ponomarenko S. Nekoto-rye podkhody k prognozirovaniyu ekonomicheskikh pokazateley. ‒ M.: IEPP, 2005.
8. Turuntseva M., Kiblitskaya T. (2010), Kachestvennye svoystva razlichnyh podkhodov k prognoziro-vaniyu sotsialno-ekonomicheskikh pokazateley RF. ‒ M.: IEPP.

Tel : +7 495 649 6241

Fax : +7 800 3331538

E-mail : bgscience@idbg.ru

Address : RUSSIA, 101000, Moscow, Myasnitskaya st. 13-2

BIBLIO-GLOBUS Science

BIBLIO-GLOBUS Science - one of the leading science publishers in Russia.

Read More
Other sites
  • BIBLIO-GLOBUS fiction
  • BIBLIO-GLOBUS bookstore
  • National Science Publishing Association (NATSPA)
© 2016 BIBLIO-GLOBUS Science (BIBLIO-GLOBUS Publishing House). All Rights Reserved