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Investigation of the Cyclicity Indicators of the Economic Development of Russia


Mariya Tyapkina, Yuliya Mongush, Irina Akimova
(about the authors)

Tyapkina Mariya Fedorovna – Candidate of Science, Economics, Associate Professor, Department of Finances and Analysis, Irkutsk State Academy of Agriculture

Mongush Yuliya Dmitrievna – Postgraduate, Department of Finances and Analysis, Irkutsk State Academy of Agriculture

Akimova Irina Olegovna – Postgraduate, Department of Finances and Analysis, Irkutsk State Academy of Agriculture

Published in:
Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship
– № 24 / December, 2014



Keywords: crisis, cyclical behavior, economic cycles, economic growth, gross domestic product


Citation:
Mariya Tyapkina, Yuliya Mongush, Irina Akimova (2014). Investigation of the Cyclicity Indicators of the Economic Development of Russia. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship, 15(24), 4-14. — url: http://bgscience.ru/com/lib/4882


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Abstract:

The article provides the analysis of the key indicators of the Russian economic development: gross domestic product, unemployment rate, consumer price index, investment in fixed assets, industrial production growth rate for the period from 2000 to 2013 allowing the creation of economic cycles. The results of the polynomial forecast of the mid-term cycles of economic development in Russia for 2014-2015 are presented without regard for the state anticyclical policy.








References:
1. Akaev A.A., Rumyantseva S.Yu., Sokolov V.N. Ekonomicheskie tsikly i ekonomicheskiy rost. – SPb: Izd-vo Politekhnicheskogo universiteta, 2011. – 455 s.
2. Kondratyev N.D. Bolshie tsikly, konyyunktura i teoriya provedeniya. – M.: Ekonomika, 2002. – 534 s.
3. Ofitsialnyy sayt Federalnoy sluzhby gosudarstvennoy statistiki [Elektronnyy resurs]. – Rezhim dostupa: http://www.gks.ru/.
4. Yakovets Yu.V. Tsikly Kondratyeva: teoriya i istoriya, nastoyaschee i buduschee // Kodratyevskie volny: palitra vzglyadov [Elektronnyy resurs]. – Rezhim dostupa: http://www.socionauki.ru/book/files/k_waves/volume_2/023-030.pdf.
5. Tyapkina M.F., Ilyina I.A. Kvalimetricheskaya model otsenki investitsionnoy privlekatelnosti predpriyatiya // Dostizheniya nauki i tekhniki APK. – 2013. – № 9. – S. 11–13. – http://elibrary.ru/download/36686837.pdf.

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